Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000090 0.000095 0.000100 0.000106 0.000112 0.000119 0.000126
2025-01-12 0.000080 0.000087 0.000094 0.000102 0.000112 0.000123 0.000136
2025-01-19 0.000074 0.000081 0.000090 0.000100 0.000112 0.000126 0.000144
2025-01-26 0.000068 0.000076 0.000085 0.000096 0.000109 0.000125 0.000146
2025-02-02 0.000066 0.000074 0.000084 0.000096 0.000112 0.000131 0.000158
2025-02-09 0.000064 0.000073 0.000084 0.000098 0.000116 0.000139 0.000172
2025-02-16 0.000063 0.000073 0.000084 0.000099 0.000119 0.000146 0.000186
2025-02-23 0.000064 0.000074 0.000087 0.000104 0.000127 0.000160 0.000211
2025-03-02 0.000061 0.000071 0.000084 0.000101 0.000126 0.000160 0.000215
2025-03-09 0.000058 0.000068 0.000080 0.000098 0.000122 0.000157 0.000215
2025-03-16 0.000056 0.000067 0.000080 0.000098 0.000124 0.000161 0.000226
2025-03-23 0.000056 0.000066 0.000080 0.000099 0.000127 0.000168 0.000242
2025-03-30 0.000053 0.000064 0.000077 0.000097 0.000125 0.000169 0.000249
2025-04-06 0.000051 0.000061 0.000074 0.000094 0.000122 0.000167 0.000251
2025-04-13 0.000049 0.000059 0.000072 0.000091 0.000121 0.000167 0.000256
2025-04-20 0.000047 0.000056 0.000069 0.000088 0.000116 0.000162 0.000252
2025-04-27 0.000046 0.000056 0.000069 0.000088 0.000119 0.000168 0.000270
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000056 0.000069 0.000090 0.000122 0.000178 0.000297
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000055 0.000069 0.000091 0.000126 0.000187 0.000326
2025-05-18 0.000045 0.000056 0.000071 0.000095 0.000134 0.000206 0.000383
2025-05-25 0.000044 0.000055 0.000069 0.000093 0.000132 0.000204 0.000386
2025-06-01 0.000042 0.000053 0.000067 0.000090 0.000128 0.000200 0.000382
2025-06-08 0.000042 0.000052 0.000066 0.000090 0.000129 0.000205 0.000404